Who are the Democrats currently leading Maryland’s 2022 Democratic gubernatorial primary contest?
But wait, it’s the summertime before the 2022 primary election. Isn’t it too soon to speculate on who’s up and who’s down?
Louis Jacobson, a U.S. News and World Report contributor, ranks Maryland’s governorship as one of the “most vulnerable” to switch political parties in 2022.
“The most vulnerable governorship on our list is the open seat in deep-blue Maryland that moderate Republican Larry Hogan is vacating,” Jacobson wrote.
Larry Hogan’s election proved that while Democrats outnumber Republicans in terms of voter registration, the state is hardly “deep-blue.”
Jacobson’s June 28 column elevates four of the nine declared Maryland Democrats into a “top tier:”
- Former Prince George’s County Executive Rushern Baker (ran and lost in the 2018 Democratic primary);
- Maryland Comptroller Peter Franchot;
- F0rmer nonprofit executive Wes Moore;
- Former Democratic National Committee Chairman Tom Perez.
“For now, the top tier of declared candidates in the Democratic field appears to be Wes Moore, a veteran and former nonprofit executive; Rushern Baker, the former Prince George’s County executive who lost the 2018 gubernatorial primary; state Comptroller Peter Franchot; and former Democratic National Committee Chairman Tom Perez,” Jacobs0n writes.
Currently, no Democratic women are running for Maryland governor in 2022.
What’s Jacobson’s methodology when handicapping political races?
Jacobson uses his reporting to analyze political races around the country.
He says he uses a “variety of sources in each state.”
“That’s the case here,” Jacobson said, in response to A Miner Detail‘s email requesting information about how the columnist determined candidate rankings in the 2022 Maryland Democratic gubernatorial contest.
Jacobson said he doesn’t reveal his sources when he handicaps political races.
“I can’t share the names of the folks I interviewed, Jacobson said, though his sources assessments “could be wrong or incomplete,” he added.
Jacobson said he spoke to more than one source when handicapping Maryland’s 2022 Democratic gubernatorial contest.
Does Wes Moore have Maryland establishment support?
Louis Jacobson seems to believe so.
Of the nine Democratic gubernatorial candidates, Jacobson wrote that “Moore, despite his lack of electoral experience, has made the deepest inroads in securing establishment support.”
Who is the Maryland Democratic Party establishment?
Is the Maryland Democratic establishment the Democratic Party of Maryland’s elected officers and county central committee members?
Is the Democratic establishment U.S. Senators Ben Cardin (D-Md.) and Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.) and Maryland’s all-male Democratic congressional delegation?
Is the Democratic establishment House Speaker Adrienne A. Jones (D-Baltimore County) and Senate President Bill Ferguson (D-Baltimore City)?
Is the Maryland Democratic establishment the House and Senate majority leaders and their deputies?
Is the Democratic establishment the wealthy Democratic donors?
All of the groups mentioned above – and the elected Democratic officials and the activists – could easily qualify as card-carrying members of Maryland’s Democratic establishment.
Remember, Jacobson spoke to more than one Maryland political source – he won’t name his sources (fair enough)- when he wrote his June 28 blurb on Maryland’s Democratic gubernatorial contest.
Sure, Mr. Moore, a military combat veteran and former nonprofit executive, is seemingly running a spirited campaign by the looks of his social media accounts.
But whom among the so-called Maryland Democratic establishment has Mr. Moore secured as backers of his gubernatorial bid?
Unless Montgomery County Councilman Will Jawando (D) – an anti-police, first-term councilmember with almost no presence outside of Montgomery County – qualifies as Maryland’s Democratic establishment, from whom is Moore earning establishment support?
Mr. Jawando endorsed Moore’s campaign on June 23.
Moore’s campaign website is limited to a fundraising landing page with little information about his background. His current website contains no information about his endorsements, nor does it list his policy agenda.
What’s more, Moore’s regular campaign email blasts are mostly littered with fundraising appeals and occasional personal anecdotes.
A Miner Detail is supremely curious which Maryland Democratic establishment figures are backing Moore’s campaign.
Despite Peter Franchot’s on-again/off-again relationship with the General Assembly’s Democratic leaders, the comptroller’s gubernatorial campaign has earned the most endorsements from former and current elected Maryland officials.
Do the Democratic gubernatorial candidates even want the Democratic establishment’s support?
Probably yes, maybe sometimes.
You’ll see many of the Democratic gubernatorial contenders rail against “politics-as-usual,” or the establishment.
The candidates may alter their stump speeches ever-so-slightly, depending upon the audience’s political leanings.
Nothing shocking or new here.
Many of the candidates will eschew shadowy establishment figures on a Monday, pandering to the populist, self-righteous Takoma Park Hogan-hating do-gooders.
Incidentally, these inflexible progressive fundamentalists candidates pander to are the same stubborn political insiders (yes, they are the insiders) who still believe if Anthony Brown had only gone further to the left in the general election, he would have beaten Larry Hogan.
No matter their good intent, pragmatic they are not.
But even the gubernatorial progressives need the uber net worth establishment types.
One call to Susie Turnbull and these gubernatorial hopefuls on a Tuesday are rolling out $5000-a-plate fundraiser invites, featuring some high-profile national Democratic figure who couldn’t find Williamsport and Willards on an iPhone map app even if they tried.
Rushern Baker’s 2018 gubernatorial campaign locked up what most political insiders and pundits would call the Maryland Democratic establishment.
Progressive primary voters, however, chose to lose the 2018 gubernatorial contest with their heads held high, nominating one of their own to lead the cashless uphill battle against the popular, well-funded Hogan.
And remember Anthony Brown’s 2014 gubernatorial bid?
How could Mr. Brown possibly lose the race with the Martin O’Malley political machine carrying him to a glorious victory? Then-Lt. Gov. Brown had the Democratic establishment in line, eager to notch a win on their proverbial belts.
But Maryland general election voters had a different plan.
They instead chose to elect and re-elect Republican Larry Hogan, now routinely considered one of America’s most popular governors, despite Kirill Reznik‘s antipathy.
Even Peter Franchot, a 34-year veteran of Maryland elected politics, opted not to endorse Maryland’s 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee, Ben Jealous, because of his bipartisan and friendly working relationship with Mr. Hogan.
Does Wes Moore even need the Democratic establishment’s support to win the primary?
Ben Jealous didn’t
Should we return to another statistics lesson to measure the establishment’s winning track record?
That’s for another day.
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